
Diagnosing an illness requires taking in a lot of information and connecting the dots.Ā Artificial intelligenceĀ may be well-suited to such a task andĀ in recent tests one system could diagnoseĀ childrenāsĀ illnesses better than some doctors.
Kang Zhang at the University of California in San Diego and his colleagues trained an AI on medical records from 1.3 million patient visits at a major medical centre in Guangzhou, China. The patients were all under 18 years old and visited their doctor between January 2016 and January 2017.
Their medical charts includeĀ text written by doctors and laboratory test results. To help the AI, Zhang and his team had human doctors annotate medical records to identify portions of text associated with the childās complaint, their history of illness, and laboratory tests.
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When tested on previously unseen cases, the AI could diagnoseĀ glandular fever (also known as mononucleosis), roseola, influenza, chicken pox and hand-foot-mouth diseaseĀ with between 90 and 97 per cent accuracy. Itās not perfect, but neither are human doctors, says Zhang.
āWhen youāre busy you can see 80 patients a day. And you can only grasp so much information. Thatās where we potentially as human physicians might make mistakes. AI doesnāt have to sleep, it has a large memory and doesnāt lose energy,ā he says.
The team compared the modelās accuracy to that of 20 paediatricians with varying years of experience. It outperformed the junior paediatricians, though the senior ones did better than the AI.
The AI could be used to triage patients in emergency departments. āGiven sufficient data, AI should be able to tell if this is an urgent situation and needs referral or if itās a cold,ā says Zhang.
Chris Russell at the Alan Turing Institute in London says this wonāt let people bypass doctors entirely when seeking medical treatment, because these medical records still need to be created by trained professionals, and their knowledge is key to the diagnosis.Ā āSomeone needs to be there discussing your symptoms and putting them into the machine. I donāt see how this technology could be used to take doctors out of the loop. It could be used toĀ help them, but itās a very long way from replacing medical professionals,ā he says.
Itās possibleĀ that junior doctors who may rely on AI like this to make diagnoses couldĀ miss out on learning how to see patterns in patient complaints. And people may feel uncomfortable with this type of medical care. āIf itās deployed as an interface directly with the person where they type in their symptoms, I can see how people would be very uncomfortable with this. When you go see a doctor, you want to feel like thereās someone there who cares about you,ā Russell says.
āBut you donāt want to go to the emergency room and wait 5 hours because you have some pain in the abdomen thatās not appendicitis but just related to gastroenteritis or the food you ate. All those diseases have tell-tale signs, and just as we physicians ask a series of questions to drive a diagnosis, AI can do the same,ā says Zhang.
He and his team are now training the AI to diagnose adult diseases, as well.
Nature Medicine