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Cybersecurity experts fear Elon Musk’s DOGE may enable quantum hackers

The US National Institute of Standards and Technology, which is tasked with developing standards for encryption that can protect against quantum computers, may be at risk
Elon Musk heads the Trump administration’s government efficiency task force, DOGE
Ken Cedeno/UPI/Shutterstock

Cybersecurity experts are racing to preserve vital documents produced by the US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), a government agency charged with developing standards for a range of fields including quantum-proof encryption, after fears they could be lost as part of Elon Musk’s ā€œgovernment efficiencyā€ drive.

Musk heads a task force called the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which is not a government department but was created by an with the stated aim of ā€œmodernizing Federal technology and software to maximize governmental efficiency and productivityā€. Quite what this means in practice is unclear, but Musk seemingly has an unchecked mandate to access and modify the computer systems that run the US’s most vital institutions including the Department of the Treasury and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

DOGE does not seem to have turned its sights on NIST yet, but people who work with the organisation are already worried about potential impacts. Participants of a are discussing the chance of the agency being streamlined, shut entirely or forced to delete certain documents or websites. at Google wrote to the list that ā€œI do think preparing mitigations for at least temporary availability risks ofĀ ±·±õ³§°Õ’s documents might be prudentā€.

Ā at security research organisationĀ , who also participates in the mailing list, told Āé¶¹“«Ć½ that documents from NIST need to be protected. ā€œWe fear that they may disappear. We need to archive them,ā€ he says.

Similar concerns seem to be playing out at the National Security Agency, which works closely with NIST. Reports suggest it is currently being made to including words like ā€œgenderā€, ā€œprivilegeā€ and ā€œbiasā€ even if those are vital to the work of the agency.

Members of the list have also pointed to , an initiative to reshape the US federal government that is widely believed to be informing the Trump administration, which specifically talks of reforming NIST, potentially merging it with the US Patent and Trademark Office. A document laying out the plan says that ā€œAn incoming Administration should evaluate the federal government’s civilian research footprint and consolidate those functions while ensuring that any research conducted with taxpayer dollars serves the national interest in a concrete way in line with conservative principlesā€.

ā€œThat was the same document that basically called for the dismantling of NOAA, which we have started to see,ā€ one UK academic toldĀ Āé¶¹“«Ć½, speaking anonymously for fear of discrimination or retaliation in the current political climate. ā€œThe US seems to be abdicating its role in so many areas – it would be very surprising to me if NIST totally escaped that and didn’t get cut back to perform a fairly minimal function of what it currently does.ā€

Of particular concern are any changes that slow ±·±õ³§°Õ’s responsibility for developing post-quantum cryptography (PQC), a form of encryption designed to be resistant to quantum computers. Even though powerful quantum computers don’t yet exist, security experts are already warning of ā€œharvest now, decrypt laterā€ attacks, where people intercept encrypted messages and store them in the hope that they can eventually develop a practical quantum computer to crack them, says Velvindron. That is why NIST has been running a project to standardise PQC algorithms and encourage their uptake.

ā€œIf they reduce staff, it will impact or harm the speed of the PQC rollout. It will have a cascading effect on personal, corporate and national security of the US and many other countries that rely on NIST standards,ā€ says Velvindron. ā€œThere’s a lot of uncertainty in the air.ā€ He has asked DOGE to clarify the future of the project, but received no response.

ā€œIt’s not like the world falls apart instantly,ā€ says the UK academic. ā€œRealistically, I think the already-selected standards will remain in place – nobody wants to go back to ground zero. But you have to face up to what the US leaving the field, as it were, might look like.ā€

Āé¶¹“«Ć½ contacted NIST for comment and was referred to its parent organisation, the USĀ Department of Commerce, which failed to respond.

Article amended on 12 February 2025

Loganaden Velvindron asked DOGE for clarity on ±·±õ³§°Õ’s post-quantum cryptography project.

Topics: quantum computing / security