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Earth

Local quake forecast has bad news for LA

13 December 2003

SEISMOLOGISTS studying how small earthquakes can trigger much bigger ones have detailed the exact sequence of events that could unleash a major quake near Los Angeles, home to 13 million people. The study will help seismologists worldwide make more accurate predictions of regional risks.

Greg Anderson and two colleagues at the US Geological Survey in Pasadena, California, were worried that the Los Angeles basin might be prone to the same kind of cascade effect that unleashed a massive quake at Denali in southern Alaska last year. There, a small earthquake on 3 November created stresses that led to a magnitude-8…

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